The Miami Heat are looking to rebound (figuratively and literally) in Game 2 against the Cleveland Cavaliers after their 21-point loss to open the series.
We’re back with our best bet series–going 3-0 straight-up on Easter Sunday! We are 7-2 since the start of the play-in, so let’s keep the hot streak going, shall we?!?
What are our best bets for Game 2? Check them out below!
Note: All odds are courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook!)
Davion Mitchell o17.5 PTS+AST (-114):
For those who have been reading the best bet columns since the start of the play-in, you all know how much I love this play. We are 3-0 on betting Mitchell overs, including 2-0 on PAs. This is the first game that I’ve seen the market adjust to the over on this play–and I know of individuals who are playing this as well (so get this number/value while you can, if you can).
That’s not going to sway me, however. He’s cleared 18 PAs in each of his last 10 games with at least 33 minutes. Mitchell had 12 shot attempts and 20 potentials, resulting in 27 PAs, in Game 1. I am comfortable with him clearing this line in Game 2.
Bam Adebayo o18.5 PTS (-125):
Adebayo has scored at least 21-plus points in each of his last three games against Cleveland, scoring 24 on 10-of-22 shooting Sunday. We know he’s going to get big minutes–especially on two days rest.
He played 39 in Game 1, and with at least 38 minutes played, Miami’s star big man has attempted at least 16 shots in six of his last seven and seven of his last nine. Adebayo’s scored at least 22 points in 14 of his last 16 games with at least 16 shots, and he will need to be a focal point of the Heat offensively if they have any chance at stealing Game 2 in a hostile environment. I love this spot for him.
Ty Jerome o14.5 PA’s (-118):
We’re also going back to the well with Jerome, who scorched earth in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s Game 1, where he scored 16 of his 28 points. He played 25 minutes in Game 1 and I am expecting much of the same opportunity in Game 2, given how much Miami struggled defending him at the point-of-attack.
In 13 games with at least 24 minutes with both Garland and Donovan Mitchell active, Jerome’s passed this line 10 times (77 percent), averaging 11 field goal attempts and eight potential assists. With at least 10 FGA and seven potentials, he’s hit 15 PAs in each of his last 10 and in 14 of his 16 games this season.
Haywood Highsmith o11.5 PTS+REB (-104):
We revisited two of our three plays from Game 1, so I only think it’s fair to add a sweetener. I’m targeting Haywood Highsmith in this spot. He’s eclipsed 13 PRs in three of his four meetings against the Cavaliers this season, averaging 5.5 FGA and eight rebound chances (four FGA, 11 RCs in G1).
For the Miami Heat to keep it close, they will need Highsmith to not only provide quality point-of-attack defense (which he didn’t do in Game 1), but also knock down open 3s when they sag off him. Highsmith has exceeded this line in six of his last seven games, and with at least five FGA and seven rebound chances, he’s crossed 12 PRs in 17 of his last 19 games.
SGP (+813):
- Donovan Mitchell 25+ PTS
- Andrew Wiggins u26.5 PRA
- Kel’el Ware u13.5 PR
- MIA-CLE u212.5
Let’s have a Wednesday, y’all!
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