
Can you already believe it?! We are 20 games into the 2025-26 Miami Heat season. What are 10 of our biggest takeaways through one-fourth of their campaign?! Let’s dive into it!
1. Heat’s emphasis on playing fast has carried over:
Before the season, I wanted the Heat to play faster. Well, they have done that, and then some. Through 20 games, the Heat are outpacing the rest of the NBA, by a lot. They are first in PACE at 106.1, nearly two possessions per 48 minutes above the next-highest team (Bulls — 104.4). They are running and gunning by far the most of any Erik Spoelstra-led team behind their new free-flowing offenses that have all but eliminated ball screens from the equation. Teams have done a successful job slowing them down by playing zone, but the Heat have still played at a 105.7 PACE over the last two weeks.
2. Rebounding remains an issue:
Rebounding has, uncharacteristically, been an issue for the Heat. They are currently No. 27 in defensive rebounding percentage and are a bottom-third team in total rebounding percentage. Surrendering long rebounds has been an ongoing issue, though Bam Adebayo’s insertion back into the lineup has helped. Rebounding wins championships. I trust those numbers progress closer to the mean as the season ages.
3. Heat are second in scoring … but 13th in offensive efficiency:
As a result of the fast-paced offense, the Heat have scored at one of the highest rates in the NBA. They have four 140-point games under their belt … doubling their previous single-season record of two. However, they have been the 13th-most efficient. Miami is 12th in both effective field goal percentage and true-shooting percentage with the 8th-best 3-point percentage (while being in the bottom-third in 3PM per possession). I think the Heat offense is closer to No. 13 than they are second, but closing the gap while maintaining a high scoring output could be very beneficial long term.
4. Heat have been a top-3 defense:
Despite this chaotic up-tempo offense, Miami has still been one of the league’s best defenses. They have a pair of elite point-of-attack defenders in Davion Mitchell and Dru Smith, arguably the best defender in the sport in Bam Adebayo, plus a number of impactful defenders (Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, Keshad Johnson, Kel’el Ware). Nikola Jovic, who’s had a difficult start to season, Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Simone Fontecchio have all shown legitimate flashes, too.
5. Their depth has been a strength:
Miami’s bench has been among the best in the NBA. Depth has been its strength. Led by Jaquez, Miami’s bench has the sixth-best NET Rating while being third in scoring. Jovic and Fontecchio have struggled of late, but the Heat can still go 9-10 deep at any point … and they will need to continue to lean into their depth if they continue to push pace.
6. Heat is scoring nearly half of their points … in the paint!:
Paint touches are the most fashionable form of offense. If you can get two feet into the paint, you can bend a defense and keep them in rotation, whether you kick it out, dump it off or put up a shot within ~8 feet of the rim. Miami has relentlessly attacked the rim this season, leading the NBA in drives (25.2) with the ninth-best field goal percentage on those drives. Better yet, the Heat are scoring nearly half of their points (46.4 percent) — with the only teams scoring more are the Detroit Pistons and New Orleans Pelicans.
7. Do the Heat have an emerging All-Star in Norman Powell?
Norman Powell has been a revelation for Miami. His minutes alongside Tyler Herro are still a work in progress, but he is still averaging 24.7 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.4 assists on 49.8 percent shooting and 44.4 percent from 3-point range in 16 games. He’s playing at an All-Star caliber level.
8. They have gotten leaps from multiple youngsters:
Leaning into their youth should continue to be a priority for the Heat. They have gotten great play at different points from Ware, Jaquez and Larsson, which is huge in the short- and long-term. Jovic is the odd man out, but I still don’t think there’s a reason not to trust that the 22-year-old will continue to grow long-term (growing pains exist) the more experience he gets. All in all, it’s very encouraging how Miami’s youth has developed through this early portion … and let’s hope there’s more to come!
9. Heat have already completed most difficult part of schedule:
How this group fared through their first 20 games — without Herro, mind you — was a big question of mine heading into the season. They scored 13 wins before their 20th game for only the fifth time since 2011-12, which I don’t think anyone expected at this point. They have played the fifth-most difficult schedule in the sport, according to Dunks & Threes, with the fourth-easiest remaining schedule.
10. One of Dru Smith and Davion Mitchell must be on the floor at one time:
The Heat have some of the best point-of-attack defense from these two aforementioned guards in the NBA. One must be on the floor at all times to hound opposing other ballhandlers. They have a minus-21 NET Rating when neither is on the floor across a big enough sample to take into consideration, as Herro-Powell-Wiggins continue to jell together.
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Much more good news than bad news this season. Great, hard working group of guys. I’m enjoying the ride and remain very optimistic. This team is close to being very competitive. A couple of trades would do wonders. Things should get mighty interesting during the next couple of months leading up to the trade deadline.
GO HEAT!!!
As a Heat fan since our inception, I have to say this might be the deepest team we have ever had. It’s refreshing to have a glut of players to choose from in the rotation. As opposed to say, 2010-11, when we were extremely top heavy with the Big 3, but then had to collectively pull our hair out having to rely on the likes of Joel Anthony, washed Mike Bibby, aging Erick Dampier and Big Z, etc. (I will not denigrate Heat legend Carlos Arroyo), while still having championship aspirations. This season feels more like 2003-04 where we had a fun team to watch and we just wanted to see how far they could go.
From the start this team has given me 2003-04 vibes with how Heat Nation has liked their fight and spirit knowing they’re not true contenders. We just want to see how far they can go.
Forgot to add a comment on all the young talent we have. In previous years, we would have been praying to squeeze all of the contribution we could out of a young 1st round draft pick like Kasparas Jakcucionis, and hope we’d unearthed another diamond in the rough with Vladislav Goldin. But neither guy can even sniff any playing time right now. For once, we’ve actually kept all of our young talent instead of trading it all away looking for the next big splash (Lillard, Durant, etc.), and we’re truly seeing the fruits of the organization’s development program.
Oh yeah, also forgot to mention that we have all of this DESPITE being stuck with Terry Rozier. Imagine how good we could be right now if we could have a serviceable big man (ANY serviceable big man *sigh*) in his $26M roster slot right now.
A solid, objective analysis without bias. Thank you.